From chaos to resurgence: Wilders’ high stakes play for power exposes the fragility of coalition politics in Europe.

6/5/2025 | Politics | GB

The collapse of the Dutch government this week was neither accidental nor entirely unexpected. Geert Wilders, the firebrand leader of the far-right Freedom Party (PVV), executed a political demolition with surgical precision. By pulling his party out of the ruling coalition over disagreements on immigration policy, he didn't just trigger a government collapse—he laid the groundwork for his own potential resurrection as a prime ministerial candidate. This isn't just about Dutch politics; it's a case study in how populist leaders weaponize instability to consolidate power.

The Emotional Trigger: Betrayal and Resentment

At its core, Wilders’ maneuver taps into a potent emotional cocktail: the simmering resentment of voters who feel betrayed by establishment promises on immigration control. For years, Wilders has painted himself as the solitary truth-teller in a political landscape riddled with compromise. His withdrawal from the coalition—framed as a principled stand against 'weak' immigration policies—resonates deeply with supporters who view mainstream parties as perpetual disappointments. The emotional payoff isn't just policy concessions; it's the theatrical assertion that only Wilders can deliver on revolutionary change.

Hidden Hypocrisy: The Convenient Scapegoat

Beneath the surface, however, lies glaring hypocrisy. Wilders spent months negotiating the coalition agreement, including its immigration provisions. Now, he portrays those same terms as unacceptable betrayals—a cynical pivot designed to shift blame. Meanwhile, his partners, like the conservative VVD, feign shock at his 'irresponsibility,' despite having enabled his rise by normalizing his rhetoric for years. The real contradiction? All parties instrumentalized anti-immigrant sentiment to gain power, yet none anticipated the instability it would unleash.

Human Impact: The Citizens Caught in the Crossfire

For ordinary Dutch citizens—especially immigrants, civil servants, and small business owners—this brinkmanship has tangible consequences. A caretaker government cannot pass meaningful legislation, leaving critical issues like housing shortages and healthcare reform in limbo. Families reliant on social services face uncertainty, while municipal workers brace for another exhausting election cycle. Historians might note the eerie parallels to Weimar Germany's fragmented politics, but for today's Dutch voters, the immediate concern is whether their institutions can withstand the strain.

2020s Resonance: The Far-Right Playbook

Wilders’ tactics mirror a broader trend across Europe and beyond. From Italy's Giorgia Meloni to France's Marine Le Pen, far-right leaders have mastered the art of leveraging chaos to position themselves as the sole remedies to the crises they help create. The Dutch debacle also underscores declining trust in institutions: only 31% of Europeans express confidence in their national governments, per Eurobarometer. Wilders exploits this distrust, framing himself as the outsider despite his decades in politics.

Historical Echoes: Coalition Instability as a Feature, Not a Bug

Dutch politics has long been defined by fragile coalitions—the average government lasts just 2.5 years—but Wilders’ actions reveal a darker evolution. In 2002, the murder of Pim Fortuyn, another anti entsprechend

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By George Oxley, this article was inspired by this source.